Thursday, July 22, 2010

AFL Preview Round 17

Brief today

Saints v Hawks - Going with the Hawks. Saints have the wood over them, but the Hawks have pretty much a best 22 and are in ripping form. Could go either way, Hawks by 6 49% upset chance

Pies v Tigers - Pies are just too good. Simple. Pies by 43 20% chance upset

Cats v Lions - Slaughter. Cats by 60. Upset chance 5%

North v Bombers - Bombers are rubbish, North are decent. North by 25. Upset chance 40%

Eagles v Blues - Tough one to tip this one. I've gone Eagles by 20 due to home ground, and finding just a touch of form. If the Blues were on song I wouldn't hesitate tipping them but they have been dreadful. Upset chance 45%

Dogs v Freo - Dogs are starting to find some form (again, and yes I still have my doubts) but the Dockers haven't worked out how to cope without Barlow. Plus its over in Melbourne. Dogs by 23, upset chance 35%

Dees v Syd - Sydney are the better side, and they had a great win against an out of form side last week. But the Dees found something last week. Will the return from Subi be a factor? I don't think so. Dees by 15. Upset chance 49%

Port v Crows - Always a tough match, but I think the Crows are just in too good form and if they lose this finals is almost gone. Crows by 28, upset chance 40%

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